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OGASAWARA, Yoshiyuki
Professor emeritus, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies
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This page provides papers and comments on the Taiwanese politics, the Presidential Elections in Taiwan, and Taiwan-China relations.

Profile
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Mt.Fuji (September 5, 2014)
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Articles
What does "Taiwan independence" mean?
My article on Taiwan Independence was carried on ThinkChina
, Jun 12, 2023
This is the subject that you may know but may not know much about. Hope you will find some implications of it.
Lessons from the "Nikkei" Taiwan Debacle: A Call for Informed, Conscientious Reporting
In March 2023, Nikkei's Taiwan special reports ignited a firestorm in Taiwan. I sorted out the criticism against Nikkei and pointed out three traps which Japan's Taiwan watchers are rather easily to fall in. Hope Japanese media will play more positive role in providing accurate coverage of Taiwan.
"Skepticism about the U.S." Spreading in Taiwan
My article was carried on Discuss Japan - Japan Foreign Policy Forum
, Mar 14, 2023
I discussed how "skepticism about the U.S." had increased in Taiwan at the end of 2023, why it increased, and how it would affect Taiwan's presidential election in 2024.
Shorter version was carried on ThinkChina
The Formation of the "2021 Arrangement" regarding Taiwan
My article was carried on Nakasone Peace Institute
, Feb 3, 2022
The year 2021 was a year of major shifts in international politics surrounding Taiwan. The series of developments surrounding Taiwan seem to have changed the framework of the "1972 arrangement," which had lasted for 50 years. The new framework could be called the "2021 arrangement."
Japanese academic: Taiwan's national referendum vote shows democracy at work
My article was carried on the Singaporean media.
ThinkChina
, Dec 27, 2021
The recent developments in Japan-US-China relations concerning Taiwan
Here is the summary of my recent lecture regarding Taiwan.
The Council on East Asian Community
, Aug 6, 2021
Dawn of a New Era in Taiwan Policy: Restructuring the "1972 Arrangement"
My article on the Japan-US joint statement regarding Taiwan.
nippon.com
, May 21, 2021
The Pratas Islands: A New Flashpoint in the South China Sea
These unremarkable features could be the center of the next Taiwan Strait Crisis
THE DIPLOMAT
, December 10, 2020
Taiwan's 2020 Presidential Elections: Incumbent Tsai Ing-wen has enjoyed a resurgence in support. Here's why.
THE DIPLOMAT
, December 12, 2019
The Tsai Administration, Local Elections and China-Taiwan Relations: Upcoming local elections in Taiwan will have regional significance
THE DIPLOMAT
, June 11, 2018
Ma Ying-jeou's Doctoral Thesis and Its Impact on the Japan-Taiwan Fisheries Negotiations
Journal of Contemporay East Asia Studies
, Vol.4, 2015 -Issue 2, pp.67-92
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Past Comments
Because of the reorganization of the Asahifs AJW site, some of the links are missing.
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Four months until Taiwan Vote: A change of government very likely
(September 17, 2015)
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Taiwanese Voters Say No to Ma Ying-jeou
(January 19, 2015)
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Ma's defeat in Taiwan and the China factor
(January 15, 2015)
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Recent Efforts, Mutual Desires between Taipei and Beijing Bear Close Watching: Top-level Meeting?
(August 5, 2014)
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Ma and Xi Meeting: Can It Happen?
(March 11, 2014)
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In Taiwan, a Political Feud Results in Setback for President Ma
(November 6, 2013)
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Fishing Agreement by Japan and Taiwan: a Product of Diplomatic Wisdom
(April 10, 2013)
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Senkaku Islands Issue: Marking President Ma Ying-jeou's Initiative
(December 6, 2012)
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Taiwan Reelects Ma Ying-jeou: Steadfast on Freedom and Democracy
(May 2, 2012)
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